Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Workington

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.2	4.33
	1.69	4.24	3.85
	1.66	4	4.3	Watch
	1.65	4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	4.11 ↑ (4.1)	4.2 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
55.6%

Draw
22.4%

Workington
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

23.2%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

24.7%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-3%)

Darlington - Workington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Darlington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Workington have a series of home games.

In this match Darlington is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Darlington won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Darlington won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
09.09.23	Bishops Stortford - Darlington	1:0 ✺
05.09.23	Darlington - Boston United	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Buxton - Darlington	5:0 ✺
28.08.23	Darlington - South Shields	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Alfreton Town - Darlington	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTLTW
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
09.09.23	Workington - Basford United	5:3 ✺
English FA Cup
02.09.23	Workington - Prestwich Heys	6:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
28.08.23	Bamber Bridge - Workington	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	Workington - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
22.08.23	Workington - Radcliffe	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
20.10.15	Darlington - Workington	4:0
25.08.15	Workington - Darlington	2:1

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