Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 36

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Bradford Park Avenue		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.4	1.42
	5.5	4.5	1.44
	5.14	4.83	1.47
	5.14	4.83	1.48
	5	4.5	1.44
	5.88	4.3	1.44
	5.5	4.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↑ (4.07)	4.55 ↑ (4.33)	1.45 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford Park Avenue
17%

Draw
20%

Worksop Town
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

20.9%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

20.1%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bradford Park Avenue's form might have worsened.

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Worksop Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bradford Park Avenue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Worksop Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Wilde J. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Wilde J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 2, Maieco E. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Worksop is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bradford PA won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford Park Avenue
English NPL Premier Division
16.03.24	Whitby Town - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Warrington Rylands	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Stafford Rangers	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Marine - Bradford Park Avenue	4:0 ✺
17.02.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWLT
- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
16.03.24	Worksop Town - Macclesfield Town	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Ashton United - Worksop Town	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Worksop Town - Bamber Bridge	2:4 ✺
17.02.24	Matlock Town - Worksop Town	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Worksop Town - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
21.10.23	Worksop Town - Bradford Park Avenue	3:1

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