Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Bamber Bridge

	1	X	2
	1.32	5.25	6
	1.35	5.4	5.8
	1.39	5.79	5.71
	1.3	5	6
	1.35	5.5	5.66
	1.35	5.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.41)	5.39 ↑ (4.64)	5.83 ↓ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
67.6%

Draw
16.8%

Bamber Bridge
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

19.7%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

18.8%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (-1%)

Worksop Town - Bamber Bridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Baxter J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 17).

Worksop is Qualified for NPL Premier Division (Play Offs )

Worksop is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bamber is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Worksop is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Worksop to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Worksop won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Worksop won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
05.04.25	Stockton Town - Worksop Town	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Worksop Town - Lancaster City	4:1 ✺
22.03.25	Warrington Rylands - Worksop Town	0:3 ✺
15.03.25	Worksop Town - Hyde United	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Worksop Town - Mickleover Sports	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW
- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
05.04.25	Leek Town - Bamber Bridge	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Bamber Bridge - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Macclesfield Town - Bamber Bridge	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Bamber Bridge - Matlock Town	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Bamber Bridge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
17.08.24	Bamber Bridge - Worksop Town	0:0
24.02.24	Worksop Town - Bamber Bridge	2:4
28.11.23	Bamber Bridge - Worksop Town	1:1

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