Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Championship Group - Round 4

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Braga U23		Sporting Lisbon U23

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.38	3.05	2.72
	2.58	3.05	3
	2.49	3.08	2.91	Watch
	2.4	2.88	2.75
	2.49	2.78	2.94	Watch
	2.54	2.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.17)	2.96 ↓ (3.18)	2.85 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga U23
37.2%

Draw
30.9%

Sporting Lisbon U23
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.9%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Sporting Lisbon U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga U23 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braga U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Braga U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Medeiros F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga U23 won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Sporting U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Braga U23 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Braga U23 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Braga U23 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sporting CP U23	7	4	3	0	15:9	6	15
7	Braga U23	7	2	4	1	11:9	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
19.01.26	Leixões U23 - Braga U23	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Braga U23 - Santa Clara U23	2:1 ✺
22.12.25	Braga U23 - Académico de Viseu U23	3:3 ✺
16.12.25	Leixões U23 - Braga U23	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Famalicão U23 - Braga U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTLW
- Sporting Lisbon U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
13.01.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Académico de Viseu U23	1:2 ✺
22.12.25	Leiria U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Torreense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:2 ✺
05.12.25	Farense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:2 ✺
01.12.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estoril U23	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Taca Revelacao U23
10.05.24	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Braga U23	0:1
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
11.03.20	Braga U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	3:2
23.11.19	Braga U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:2
12.08.19	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Braga U23	1:0
20.04.19	Braga U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:2
04.03.19	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Braga U23	3:2
09.02.19	Braga U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:1

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