Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11, Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon U23		Estoril U23

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.7
	1.81	3.88	3.88
	1.66	4.04	4.38	Watch
	1.75	3.5	3.7
	1.78	3.95	3.9	Watch
	1.81	3.6	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.66)	3.76 ↓ (4.04)	3.87 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon U23
52%

Draw
24.3%

Estoril U23
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

23%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

20.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Estoril U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril U23 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estoril U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting U23 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon U23 will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Grombahi C. ⚽, Kissanga H. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Peixinho ⚽, Aziz F. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Lourenco B. ⚽, Edwards K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Revelacao U23 (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga Revelacao U23 (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting U23 won 2.

Recent performances by Sporting U23 have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Estoril U23 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Estoril U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Estoril U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sporting U23 is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting U23 won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting U23 won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
14.11.25	Santa Clara U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Leiria U23	1:1 ✺
16.10.25	Portimonense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Torreense U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTTLL
- Estoril U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
25.11.25	Estoril U23 - Torreense U23	1:3 ✺
17.11.25	Estoril U23 - Portimonense U23	0:0 ✺
05.11.25	Farense U23 - Estoril U23	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Estoril U23 - Santa Clara U23	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Estoril U23 - Benfica U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
12.09.25	Estoril U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:5
16.03.25	Estoril U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:1
15.01.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estoril U23	2:2
02.12.24	Estoril U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:0
13.09.24	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estoril U23	1:1
17.04.24	Estoril U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:1
13.02.24	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estoril U23	2:1

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