Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Round 18

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Leiria U23		Sporting Lisbon U23

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.35	1.98
	3.54	3.49	2	Watch
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.45	3.35	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.95)	3.3 ↑ (3.27)	1.97 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria U23
26.3%

Draw
27.5%

Sporting Lisbon U23
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

27.9%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.7%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sporting Lisbon U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria U23 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Leiria U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leiria U23 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sporting U23 will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Leiria U23 (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiria U23 (votes: 1 - 50%). Sporting U23 (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Liga Revelacao U23 (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Revelacao U23 (Championship Group: )).

Leiria U23 is Liga Revelacao U23 (Losers stage )

Leiria U23 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sporting U23 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sporting U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sporting U23 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leiria U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting Lisbon U23 - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.2%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiria U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
15.12.25	Leiria U23 - Farense U23	0:1 ✺
09.12.25	Estoril U23 - Leiria U23	2:2 ✺
02.12.25	Leiria U23 - Santa Clara U23	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Torreense U23 - Leiria U23	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Benfica U23 - Leiria U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLLT
- Sporting Lisbon U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
14.12.25	Torreense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:2 ✺
05.12.25	Farense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:2 ✺
01.12.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estoril U23	3:2 ✺
14.11.25	Santa Clara U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
25.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Leiria U23	1:1

Leiria U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide