The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Farense U23 36.9%
Draw 28.8%
Sporting Lisbon U23 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
27.2%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
27.4%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farense U23's performance.
Sporting Lisbon U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense U23 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farense U23 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Farense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, da Silva Mendes I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Liga Revelacao U23 (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Revelacao U23 (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense U23 won 1.
Farense U23 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sporting U23's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Farense U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Farense U23 won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Farense U23 won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Farense U23 - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.69%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.