Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 26

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Bragança		Vila Real

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	4
	1.55	3.95	5
	1.72	3.44	4.41
	1.55	3.95	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.43)	3.71 ↓ (4.2)	4.6 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bragança
55.7%

Draw
24.5%

Vila Real
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

20.6%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bragança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bragança's form might have worsened.

Vila Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bragança, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Bragança - Vila Real Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Vila Real (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Real (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Kika ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, ⚽,
78', 🟥,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 and 9).

Bragança is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Vila Real is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Bragança is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bragança won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
06.04.25	Joane - Bragança	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Bragança - Brito	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Bragança - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Rebordosa - Bragança	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Bragança - Os Sandinenses	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTTT
- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
06.04.25	Vila Real - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Rebordosa - Vila Real	5:0 ✺
16.03.25	Vila Real - Os Sandinenses	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Paredes - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Vila Real - Limianos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
05.01.25	Vila Real - Bragança	1:1

Bragança - Vila Real: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide