Match Info

Superettan - Round 18

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 7, TV4 Play


	Trelleborg		Umeå

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.2	4.2
	1.5	4.1	5.5
	1.72	3.95	4.15	Watch
	1.76	4.05	4.47
	1.00	1.00	1.09	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.69	4.18	4.18	Watch
	1.52	4.25	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)	3.7 ↓ (4.31)	4.32 ↓ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
56.3%

Draw
23.5%

Umeå
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

21.7%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

21.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trelleborg's form might have worsened.

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trelleborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Trelleborg - Umeå Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Trelleborg (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - draw (2.12) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Trelleborg will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsson M. (G) 20. Horberg F. 5. Ogwuche A. 3. Weberg C. (C) 21. Alievski E. 13. Engstrom H. 24. Christiansson V. 10. Vidjeskog A. 8. Ruuska O. 45. Dalugge Z. 11. Culum A.	1. Eriksson P. (G) 23. Frigell Jansson L. 5. Hedenquist J. 26. Ekman D. 19. Olsson T. 28. Persson D. 18. Yiriyon Yaw G. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 11. Tot Wikstrom E. 10. Bjorgolfsson E. 25. Gronborg T.
Substitutes
7. Andersson J. 16. Asani A. 17. Bohman F. 42. Brandin O. 19. Karlsson T. 14. Nehme A. 4. Rehn A.	16. Bangala D. 9. Haga M. H. 8. Hedstrom J. 31. Uppenberg M. (G) 7. Vikgren L. 32. Voilas J. 12. Yeboah E.
Coaches
Haynes K.	Baath-Sjoblom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Dalugge Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Nilsson M. 🟥,
55', Ruuska O. ↓, Brandin O. ↑,
57', Yiriyon Yaw G. 🟨,
63', Alievski E. ↓, Nehme A. ↑,
63', Culum A. ↓, Bohman F. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Hedenquist J. ⚽, Lindmark S. (A),
65', Yiriyon Yaw G. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
76', Engstrom H. 🟨,
77', Frigell Jansson L. 🟨,
78', Yeboah E. 🟨,
81', Persson D. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
81', Frigell Jansson L. ↓, Bangala D. ↑,
83', Christiansson V. 🟨,
86', Christiansson V. ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
88', Weberg C. 🟥,
90+3', 0 - 2, Bjorgolfsson E. ⚽, Gronborg T. (A),
90+5', Gronborg T. ↓, Haga M. H. ↑,
90+5', Tot Wikstrom E. ↓, Vikgren L. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Trelleborg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Umeå's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Trelleborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trelleborg is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Trelleborg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Trelleborg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
02.08.25	Trelleborg - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
28.07.25	Västerås SK - Trelleborg	3:0 ✺
21.07.25	Landskrona - Trelleborg	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Fremad Amager - Trelleborg	2:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
28.06.25	Trelleborg - Oddevold	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLWTT
- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
04.08.25	Umeå - Falkenberg	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Brage - Umeå	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Umeå - Örebro	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Falkenberg - Umeå	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Helsingborg - Umeå	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
06.04.25	Umeå - Trelleborg	0:1
16.10.20	Umeå - Trelleborg	0:1
30.07.20	Trelleborg - Umeå	1:1
27.09.12	Umeå - Trelleborg	5:1

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