Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 22

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Brann Stadion (Bergen)

Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay


	Brann		Bodø Glimt

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.55	Watch
	4.33	4.80	1.58
	4.9	4.55	1.58
	5.07	5.03	1.58
	4.86	4.87	1.56	Watch
	5	4.95	1.55
	4.98	4.98	1.55	Watch
	4.7	4.7	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (3.32)	4.8 ↑ (4.02)	1.56 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brann
19.5%

Draw
19.7%

Bodø Glimt
60.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.1%

23.2%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

23.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brann's form might have worsened.

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bodø Glimt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brann than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bodø Glimt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Brann - Bodø Glimt Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Brann will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodø Glimt: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brann (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - under (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - Bodo/Glimt & Yes (2.38) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsen S. (G) 23. Pedersen T. 3. Knudsen F. (C) 21. Kasanwirjo N. 20. Dragsnes V. 10. Ingason K. M. 18. Sorensen J. 19. Gudmundsson E. 22. Magnusson S. 29. Holm N. 9. Castro N.	1. Lund J. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 5. Aleesami H. 15. Bjorkan F. 8. Auklend S. 7. Berg P. (C) 19. Fet S. 10. Hauge J. 11. Blomberg O. 21. Helmersen A.
Substitutes
1. Dyngeland M. (G) 16. Eriksen K. 11. Finne B. 43. Haugen B. 7. Kjartansson K. 39. Laegreid J. 17. Soltvedt J. 15. Torsvik J. 41. Wilhelmsen A.	43. Andersen M. L. (G) 17. Brynhildsen O. 16. Kitolano J. 25. Maatta I. 22. Mvuka Mugisha J. 14. Saltnes U.
Coaches
Horneland E.	Knutsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Helmersen A. ⚽, Hauge J. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Gudmundsson E. ⚽, Castro N. (A),
24', Kasanwirjo N. 🟨,
40', Helmersen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Ingason K. M. ⚽, Holm N. (A),
66', Ingason K. M. 🟨,
68', Ingason K. M. 🟥,
72', Blomberg O. ↓, Brynhildsen O. ↑,
72', Auklend S. ↓, Saltnes U. ↑,
72', Magnusson S. ↓, Eriksen K. ↑,
72', Castro N. ↓, Soltvedt J. ↑,
84', Aleesami H. ↓, Maatta I. ↑,
85', Pedersen T. ↓, Torsvik J. ↑,
90+2', Holm N. ↓, Kjartansson K. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brann won 1.

In recent outings, Brann has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bodø Glimt is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Brann may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bodø Glimt carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Brann: Boakye N. (Knee Injury) Cornic L. (Yellow Cards) Gudmundsson E. (Injury) Kjartansson K. (Injury) Opsahl S. (Foot Injury).

Confirmed absences for Bodø Glimt: Evjen H. (Knee Injury) Riisnaes M. (Injury) Sjong I. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Bodø Glimt: Gundersen J. (Thigh Injury) Haikin N. (Injury) Mikkelsen A. (Groin Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Brann has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:45 (averaging 1.7:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Brann against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 16:13 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	23	18	2	3	58:20	38	56
7	Brann	22	9	2	11	39:34	5	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Brann
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Os TF - Brann	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
13.09.26	Start - Brann	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Brann - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Sandefjord - Brann	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Brann - PAOK	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLTW
- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
14.09.26	Bodø Glimt - Sandefjord	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Bayern Munich - Bodø Glimt	5:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.09.26	Fredrikstad - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Bodø Glimt - Rosenborg	4:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.08.26	Bodø Glimt - NEC Nijmegen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
24.05.26	Bodø Glimt - Brann	3:1
Norwegian NM Cup
09.05.26	Bodø Glimt - Brann	4:3 penalties
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.10.25	Brann - Bodø Glimt	1:2
21.06.25	Bodø Glimt - Brann	3:0
22.09.24	Brann - Bodø Glimt	4:1
07.07.24	Bodø Glimt - Brann	5:1
26.11.23	Brann - Bodø Glimt	4:2

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