Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 19

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø)

Referee: Nilsen O. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Bodø Glimt		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.75	6.5	Watch
	1.37	5.25	6.75
	1.35	5.15	7.6
	1.34	6.45	8.4
	1.34	5.9	7.25	Watch
	1.34	6	7.4
	1.38	5.79	6.55	Watch
	1.34	5.6	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)	5.74 ↑ (5.53)	7.13 ↑ (6.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
70.2%

Draw
16.5%

Rosenborg
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

16.8%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

16%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	21.4%	0%

Bodø Glimt - Rosenborg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bodø Glimt (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Bodø Glimt will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 2. Nielsen V. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 15. Bjorkan F. 8. Auklend S. 7. Berg P. (C) 19. Fet S. 17. Brynhildsen O. 21. Helmersen A. 10. Hauge J.	1. Wahlstedt L. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 4. Ceide M. K. 21. Nemcik T. 19. Pereira A. 10. Selnaes O. (C) 29. Duris D. 17. Bomholt M. 7. Nordli S. 18. Chiakha A. 35. Ceide E. K.
Substitutes
11. Blomberg O. 16. Kitolano J. 1. Lund J. (G) 25. Maatta I. 22. Mvuka Mugisha J. 14. Saltnes U. 32. Solhaug K.	20. Borgersen A. 3. Dahl T. 23. Mampassi M. 15. Mortensen J. 11. Sahsah N. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 28. Slordal E. 30. Soboczynski M. 5. Volden H.
Coaches
Knutsen K.	Alexandersson F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Duris D. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Nordli S. ⚽, Ceide E. K. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Bjorkan F. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', Nordli S. ↓, Sahsah N. ↑,
55', Duris D. ↓, Mortensen J. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Bjortuft O. L. ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, Helmersen A. ⚽,
65', Witry A. F. ↓, Mampassi M. ↑,
65', Pereira A. ↓, Soboczynski M. ↑,
72', Hauge J. ↓, Blomberg O. ↑,
77', 4 - 1, Helmersen A. ⚽, Auklend S. (A),
80', Bjorkan F. ↓, Maatta I. ↑,
80', Auklend S. ↓, Kitolano J. ↑,
80', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
88', 4 - 2, Ceide E. K. ⚽, Selnaes O. (A),
89', Fet S. ↓, Saltnes U. ↑,
89', Blomberg O. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bodø Glimt won 2.

Bodø Glimt is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rosenborg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bodø Glimt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bodø Glimt is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Bodø Glimt will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bodø Glimt won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 37:31. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bodø Glimt won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.5:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bodo/Glimt	22	17	2	3	56:20	36	53
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	40:31	9	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
UEFA Champions League
25.08.26	Bodø Glimt - NEC Nijmegen	3:0 ✺
19.08.26	NEC Nijmegen - Bodø Glimt	1:3 ✺
11.08.26	Bodø Glimt - Saint-Gilloise	3:2 AET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
08.08.26	Vålerenga - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Saint-Gilloise - Bodø Glimt	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWT
- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
14.08.26	Rosenborg - Viking Stavanger	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Lillestrøm SK - Rosenborg	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Brann - Rosenborg	3:2 ✺
27.07.26	Rosenborg - Fredrikstad	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Rosenborg - Manchester United	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
29.05.26	Rosenborg - Bodø Glimt	2:2
21.09.25	Rosenborg - Bodø Glimt	1:1
24.05.25	Bodø Glimt - Rosenborg	4:0
28.10.24	Bodø Glimt - Rosenborg	2:3
27.04.24	Rosenborg - Bodø Glimt	1:3
17.09.23	Rosenborg - Bodø Glimt	1:1
13.05.23	Bodø Glimt - Rosenborg	3:2

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