Match Info

Serie D - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)


	Brasil de Pelotas		Blumenau

	1	X	2
	1.94	2.89	4.32
	1.99	2.78	4.43	Watch
	1.95	2.63	4.2
	2.08	2.83	3.73
	2.08	2.9	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.08)	2.81 ↓ (2.9)	4.07 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
45.3%

Draw
32.4%

Blumenau
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

31.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

31%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Blumenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blumenau than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Brasil de Pelotas - Blumenau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Julio Simas ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Brown ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 2, Brown ⚽,

Preview

Brasil de Pelotas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Blumenau has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Blumenau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brasil de Pelotas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brasil de Pelotas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Brasil de Pelotas - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.72%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Copa FGF
27.05.26	Brasil de Pelotas - GE Bagé	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.26	São-Joseense - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa FGF
21.05.26	GA Farroupilha - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.26	Brasil de Pelotas - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa FGF
13.05.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWTW
- Blumenau EC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
27.05.26	Blumenau - Guarani de Palhoça	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.26	Azuriz - Blumenau	2:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
20.05.26	Metropolitano - Blumenau	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	Blumenau - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
13.05.26	Hercílio Luz - Blumenau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	Blumenau - Brasil de Pelotas	3:2

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