Match Info

Copa Santa Catarina - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hercílio Luz		Blumenau

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.40	4.50
	1.51	3.8	5.3
	1.71	3.56	4.52
	1.49	3.75	5.2
	1.55	3.94	5.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	3.69 ↓ (3.8)	4.99 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hercílio Luz
57.3%

Draw
24.6%

Blumenau
18.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56%

24.2%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

23.2%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Blumenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blumenau than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Hercílio Luz - Blumenau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina Playoffs - Semi - finals and 8th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Hercílio Luz may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Hercílio Luz carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hercílio Luz has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hercílio Luz against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hercilio Luz ✔	7	4	1	2	13:9	4	13
8	Blumenau	7	1	3	3	4:6	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hercílio Luz FC
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
17.10.26	Hercílio Luz - Barra Santa Catarina	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Figueirense - Hercílio Luz	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Hercílio Luz - Nação	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Hercílio Luz	4:2 ✺
12.09.26	Joinville - Hercílio Luz	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW
- Blumenau EC
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
18.10.26	Nação - Blumenau	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Blumenau - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Blumenau - Metropolitano	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Blumenau	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Joinville - Blumenau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
12.07.26	Blumenau - Hercílio Luz	0:2
13.05.26	Hercílio Luz - Blumenau	0:1

Hercílio Luz - Blumenau