Match Info

Date: 21 September 2021, Tuesday


	Brasil de Pelotas		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	2.95	2
	3.4	3	2.07	Watch
	3.9	2.85	2.07
	4.27	2.99	2.15
	3.7	2.88	2.1
	3.94	3.04	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.34)	2.95 ↑ (2.91)	2.08 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
24.1%

Draw
31.4%

CRB Maceio
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

32.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

23.4%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CRB Maceio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CRB Maceio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brasil de Pelotas - CRB Maceio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

CRB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

CRB will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Pelotas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
18.09.21	Goiás - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
07.09.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Confiança	1:1 ✺
03.09.21	Vasco da Gama - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
27.08.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Remo	1:1 ✺
22.08.21	Londrina - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTTTT
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
16.09.21	CRB Maceio - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	CRB Maceio - Goiás	0:1 ✺
01.09.21	Confiança - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
29.08.21	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Remo - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.06.21	CRB Maceio - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1
24.11.20	Brasil de Pelotas - CRB Maceio	2:1
18.08.20	CRB Maceio - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
10.09.19	CRB Maceio - Brasil de Pelotas	3:1
11.05.19	Brasil de Pelotas - CRB Maceio	0:2
15.09.18	Brasil de Pelotas - CRB Maceio	1:0
02.06.18	CRB Maceio - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1

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