Match Info

Date: 7 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)


	Brasil de Pelotas		Confiança

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.87	3.1
	2.25	2.9	3.15
	2.34	2.98	3.32
	2.2	2.75	3.2
	2.3	2.97	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.39)	2.89 ↑ (2.84)	3.17 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
40.1%

Draw
31.3%

Confiança
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

31.5%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

31.7%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Brasil de Pelotas - Confiança Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 15).

Brasil de Pelotas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Confiança is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brasil de Pelotas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brasil de Pelotas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Pelotas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie C
31.07.22	Floresta - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
24.07.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Aparecidense	1:2 ✺
17.07.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Atlético Cearense	4:1 ✺
10.07.22	Altos - Brasil de Pelotas	3:2 ✺
03.07.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLT
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
30.07.22	Confiança - Altos	1:0 ✺
25.07.22	Mirassol - Confiança	3:1 ✺
17.07.22	Confiança - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
09.07.22	Paysandu - Confiança	1:0 ✺
02.07.22	Confiança - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.09.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Confiança	1:1
15.06.21	Confiança - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1
28.12.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Confiança	1:0
30.09.20	Confiança - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1

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