Match Info

Date: 3 September 2021, Friday


	Vasco da Gama		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	3.9	7.25
	1.45	3.7	6.75	Watch
	1.47	3.7	7.2
	1.49	3.99	8.47
	1.47	3.6	8
	1.5	3.88	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	3.8 ↑ (3.77)	7.53 ↑ (7.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
63.2%

Draw
24.5%

Brasil de Pelotas
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

24.5%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.5%

20.3%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Vasco da Gama - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Recent matches Vasco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brasil de Pelotas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Vasco is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
29.08.21	Vasco da Gama - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
21.08.21	Operário Ferroviario - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
18.08.21	Vasco da Gama - Londrina	1:2 ✺
13.08.21	Remo - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
10.08.21	Vasco da Gama - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLW
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
27.08.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Remo	1:1 ✺
22.08.21	Londrina - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
19.08.21	Brasil de Pelotas - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
15.08.21	Botafogo RJ - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
11.08.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.06.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Vasco da Gama	1:2
05.11.16	Brasil de Pelotas - Vasco da Gama	2:1
09.07.16	Vasco da Gama - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0

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