Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video


	CRB Maceio		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.4	1.68
	4.4	3.25	1.73
	5.5	3.35	1.65
	5.6	3.44	1.74
	4.59	3.15	1.87	Watch
	4.8	3.2	1.75
	5.45	3.48	1.72	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (4.2)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
18.6%

Draw
27.9%

Cruzeiro
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

26.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

25.8%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. CRB (votes: 2 - 40%). Cruzeiro (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Cruzeiro (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - CRB (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. CRB (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Cruzeiro (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 2. Matheus Ribeiro 44. Henri 27. Fabio Alemao (C) 77. Leo Campos 22. Higor Meritao 8. Gege 10. Danielzinho 17. Thiaguinho 9. Breno Herculano 7. Douglas Baggio	1. Cassio (G) 12. William Furtado 15. Fabricio Bruno 25. Villalba L. 6. Kaiki 29. Romero L. 16. Lucas Silva (C) 88. Christian 10. Matheus Pereira 94. Wanderson 19. Kaio Jorge
Substitutes
21. Crystopher Ribeiro 97. Dada Belmonte 34. Darlisson 11. Giovanni 5. Lucas Kallyel 28. Mikael 4. Segovia L. 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 82. Wallace 42. Weverton 93. Willian Pottker	11. Bolasie Y. 21. Eduardo 9. Gabriel Barbosa 14. Gamarra M. 77. Japa 34. Jonathan Jesus 36. Kaua Prates 41. Leo Aragao (G) 7. Marquinhos 8. Matheus Henrique 75. Rodriguinho 5. Walace
Coaches
Eduardo Barroca	Jardim L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Wanderson 🟨,
31', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
40', Henri ↓, Segovia L. ↑,
40', Fabio Alemao 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Villalba L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Higor Meritao 🟨,
56', Matheus Ribeiro 🟨,
57', Leo Campos ↓, Weverton ↑,
57', Breno Herculano ↓, Mikael ↑,
64', Mikael 🟨,
71', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
71', Douglas Baggio ↓, Willian Pottker ↑,
71', Thiaguinho ↓, Dada Belmonte ↑,
86', Gege (Pen),
88', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
88', Christian ↓, Eduardo ↑,
90+3', Lucas Silva 🟨,
90+3', Matheus Pereira ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
90+6', Marquinhos 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 2, Eduardo ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CRB won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, CRB has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cruzeiro is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in CRB: Weverton (Injury)

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner (Broken Leg) Janderson (Knee Injury) Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in CRB: David da Hora (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, CRB won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, CRB won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
03.08.25	Chapecoense - CRB Maceio	3:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	Cruzeiro - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.07.25	CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino	4:0 ✺
22.07.25	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LTWLT
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
03.08.25	Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	Cruzeiro - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.07.25	Cruzeiro - Ceará	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Cruzeiro - Juventude	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	Cruzeiro - CRB Maceio	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
17.09.22	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro	0:2
08.06.22	Cruzeiro - CRB Maceio	2:0
29.08.21	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro	0:0
06.06.21	Cruzeiro - CRB Maceio	3:4
08.12.20	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro	0:0
07.09.20	Cruzeiro - CRB Maceio	1:1

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