The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brasil de Pelotas 30.9%
Draw 32.6%
Ferroviário Fortaleza 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
31.3%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
32.2%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
Brasil de Pelotas - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Ferroviário will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ferroviário: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 11).
Brasil de Pelotas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Ferroviário is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.