Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 1

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)


	Figueirense		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.06	3.2	3.76
	2.07	3.17	3.76
	1.91	3.1	3.5
	2.03	3.12	3.74	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.04)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	3.63 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
45.8%

Draw
29%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

29.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

28.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Ferroviário Fortaleza aligns with the current prediction.

Figueirense - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Ruan Carneiro (G) 11. Alisson Santos 14. Cedric 29. Cristian Renato 27. Genilson (C) 20. Gledson 19. Guilherme Pato 31. Henrique Cardoso 21. Leo Baiano 3. Rafael Ribeiro 6. Samuel Toscas	1. Douglas Dias (G) 3. Alisson 99. Ciel (C) 6. Ernandes 5. Lincoln 7. Marcelinho 8. Marciel 22. Vinicius Alves 23. Wendson 2. Wesley 26. Willian Rocha
Substitutes
25. Antonio (G) 30. Bruno Michel 28. de Oliveira M. M. 5. JP Iseppe 2. Leonardo Maia 8. Matheus Farinha 9. Renan Bernabe 24. Ruan Levine 4. Thomas Kayck 15. Tiago Barbosa 12. Vinicius Barreta (G)	10. Barreto de Souza F. 18. Caio Rangel 11. Gabryel Martins 32. Geaze (G) 4. Geninho 14. Igor Dutra 20. Leo Rafael 15. Ralph 21. Vitinho 17. Wilker

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Alisson Santos ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Lincoln ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Alisson Santos ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Leo Baiano ↓, JP Iseppe ↑,
60', Vinicius Alves ↓, Caio Rangel ↑,
70', Guilherme Pato ↓, Bruno Michel ↑,
70', Henrique Cardoso ↓, Matheus Farinha ↑,
71', Gabryel Martins 🟨,
72', Caio Rangel ↓, Vitinho ↑,
76', 🟨,
77', Marciel ↓, Leo Rafael ↑,
77', 🟨,
80', Cristian Renato ↓, Renan Bernabe ↑,
80', Samuel Toscas ↓, Thomas Kayck ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Ferroviário have a series of guest games.

Figueirense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Figueirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Figueirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
15.03.24	Figueirense - Barra Santa Catarina	1:4 penalties ✺
10.03.24	Barra Santa Catarina - Figueirense	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Figueirense - Internacional de Lages	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Chapecoense - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
21.02.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Figueirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWL
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
16.03.24	Ceará - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.03.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
09.03.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará	2:3 ✺
02.03.24	Iguatu - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
28.05.22	Figueirense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0

Figueirense - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide