Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho - Round 7

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)


	Brasil de Pelotas		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.8	2.45	Watch
	3.2	2.5	2.45
	3.58	2.57	2.54
	3.36	2.62	2.45	Watch
	3.2	2.75	2.4
	3.22	2.89	2.35
	3.2	2.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.63)	2.66 ↓ (2.83)	2.44 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
28.1%

Draw
34.4%

Ypiranga
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

33%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasil de Pelotas's form might have worsened.

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ypiranga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brasil de Pelotas - Ypiranga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wellington Santana (G) 13. Aquila 9. Gabriel Moyses 4. Guilherme Cerqueira 6. Higor (C) 7. Histone 15. Joao Victor 8. Jonathan Cabeca 10. Kaue 11. Mayco Felix 2. Murillo Lima	1. Edson (C) 18. Emerson Galego 11. Felipe Marques 28. Heitor 6. Heitor Roca 10. Jean Pyerre 30. Joao Paulo 16. Lucas Ramos 7. Roger 2. Vitor Marinho 3. Willian Gomes
Substitutes
16. Alan Bald 12. Alan Gobetti (G) 5. Bruno Miguel 25. Gabriel 3. Gabriel Macedo 18. Higor Farias 20. Jefinho 19. Jota 14. Marcel 21. Milar A. 22. Rael 17. Vini Charopem	8. Clayton 9. Cristiano 99. Danielzinho 33. Eduardo Grechi 34. Fernando Costa (G) 4. Franklin 43. Luciano 22. Rian 19. Salas De La Hoz A. D. J. 26. Valber Junior 40. Ze Carlos (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Emerson Galego ⚽,
26', Jonathan Cabeca 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Histone ↓, Vini Charopem ↑,
46', Gabriel Moyses ↓, Jota ↑,
50', Joao Victor 🟨,
60', 🟨,
60', Aquila 🟥,
62', Roger 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, Emerson Galego ⚽,
67', 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 1.

Recent matches Brasil de Pelotas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ypiranga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ypiranga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ypiranga will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Pelotas won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.02.25	EC Pelotas - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
05.02.25	Internacional RS - Brasil de Pelotas	3:0 ✺
02.02.25	Brasil de Pelotas - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Caxias - Brasil de Pelotas	4:2 ✺
25.01.25	Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLT
- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
09.02.25	Ypiranga - Guarany de Bagé	1:0 ✺
06.02.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Ypiranga - Monsoon	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Ypiranga - São Luiz	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Avenida - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
02.03.24	Ypiranga - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0
18.02.23	Ypiranga - Brasil de Pelotas	2:2
Brazilian Serie C
11.06.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Ypiranga	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
23.03.22	Ypiranga - Brasil de Pelotas	3:1
20.03.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Ypiranga	1:0
20.02.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Ypiranga	1:1
31.03.21	Ypiranga - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0

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