Match Info
BRAZIL: Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 4 August 2024, Sunday
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Brasiliense |
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Noroeste |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.68 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
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 |
1.7 |
3.6 |
4.33 |
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 |
1.78 |
3.5 |
4.09 |
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1.78 |
3.5 |
4.19 |
 Watch |
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1.62 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
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 |
1.72 |
3.58 |
4.26 |
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1.7 |
3.6 |
4.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.59) |
3.57 ↑
(3.4) |
4.21 ↓
(5.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brasiliense
53% | Draw
25.4% | Noroeste
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brasiliense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Noroeste's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasiliense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Noroeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Brasiliense - Noroeste Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Piaui ⚽,
- 15', 0 - 2, Juninho Potiguar ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 2, Joaozinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 2 - 2, Gui Mendes ⚽,
- 90', Luiz Felipe 🟥,
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0. Brasiliense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Recent matches Noroeste is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Brasiliense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match Brasiliense is a favorite. Our prediction for today's Brasiliense to win the game is with odds 1.51.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Brasiliense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1. Including matches at home between the teams Brasiliense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 27.07.24 | Noroeste - Brasiliense | 0:2 | | 12.12.20 | Brasiliense - Noroeste | 3:0 | | 06.12.20 | Noroeste - Brasiliense | 1:1 |
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