Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 13

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday


	Portuguesa RJ		Noroeste

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	6.5
	1.44	3.75	7
	1.43	3.85	6.77
	1.46	3.86	6.99	Watch
	1.35	3.9	7.5
	1.41	3.92	7.55
	1.44	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.3)	3.85 ↓ (4.5)	7.04 ↓ (9.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa RJ
63.6%

Draw
23.5%

Noroeste
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

20.2%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

16.5%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portuguesa RJ's form might have worsened.

Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa RJ that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Portuguesa RJ - Noroeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Portuguesa RJ will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Noroeste will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Wellington Cezar ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Luizinho ⚽,
61', Juninho Potiguar 🟥,
75', 3 - 0, Dodo ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.24	Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa RJ	1:0 ✺
03.07.24	Itabuna - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Audax Rio	3:0 ✺
19.06.24	Democrata SL - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
12.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Serra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTWTT
- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
10.07.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Noroeste	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.24	Serra - Noroeste	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
03.07.24	Noroeste - Vitória ES	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
29.06.24	Noroeste - Ipatinga	2:0 ✺
25.06.24	Noroeste - Democrata SL	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.05.24	Noroeste - Portuguesa RJ	1:1
23.07.23	Noroeste - Portuguesa RJ	0:0
06.05.23	Portuguesa RJ - Noroeste	5:2

Portuguesa RJ - Noroeste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide