Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Espirito Santo - Second stage - Round 4

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Linhares		Noroeste

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.9	1.58
	4.16	3.59	1.6
	4.55	3.86	1.64	Watch
	4.55	3.92	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.18)	3.82 ↑ (3.59)	1.61 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linhares
20.5%

Draw
23.6%

Noroeste
56%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.3%

25.1%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

24.1%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linhares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linhares's form might have worsened.

Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Noroeste's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linhares than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Linhares, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Noroeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Linhares - Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 0)

Preview

Linhares is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Noroeste is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Noroeste could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Linhares have a series of guest games.

Noroeste will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linhares FC
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
14.07.24	Vilavelhense - Linhares	3:0 ✺
08.07.24	Rio Branco AC ES - Linhares	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Linhares - Vitória ES	1:3 ✺
16.06.24	Vilavelhense - Linhares	0:1 ✺
05.06.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Linhares	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLWL
- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Serie D
20.07.24	Noroeste - Itabuna	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
17.07.24	Noroeste - Capixaba SC	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.24	Portuguesa RJ - Noroeste	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
10.07.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Noroeste	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.24	Serra - Noroeste	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLTT

Linhares - Noroeste

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Linhares - Noroeste Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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