Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Verde - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday


	Brasiliense		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.65	5.2
	1.59	3.66	5.35
	1.6	3.65	5.3	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5.5
	1.67	3.67	5.04
	1.57	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.61)	3.61 ↑ (3.03)	5.27 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasiliense
57.3%

Draw
25.4%

Vila Nova
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30.3%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

31.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasiliense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brasiliense's performance.

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vila Nova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brasiliense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vila Nova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brasiliense - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brasiliense will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Leo Gama ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Keynan ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

Brasiliense in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Vila Nova is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vila Nova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brasiliense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Brasiliense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Brasiliense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasiliense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
09.02.25	Brasiliense - Ceilandense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
06.02.25	Brasiliense - Capital CF Ltda	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
02.02.25	Ceilândia - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
30.01.25	Brasiliense - Legião	3:0 ✺
25.01.25	Real Brasilia - Brasiliense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
11.02.25	Vila Nova - Goiatuba	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	ABECAT Ouvidorense - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
05.02.25	Goiânia - Vila Nova	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
04.02.25	Vila Nova - Luverdense	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
02.02.25	Vila Nova - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Verde
12.11.22	Vila Nova - Brasiliense	2:1
09.11.22	Brasiliense - Vila Nova	1:1
18.02.21	Brasiliense - Vila Nova	2:3 penalties
14.02.21	Vila Nova - Brasiliense	0:2

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