Match Info

Date: 28 November 2020, Saturday


	Brechin City		Stranraer

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.4
	6	4.4	1.4
	6.75	4.3	1.36
	6.4	4.6	1.4
	6.69	4.99	1.43
	5.5	4.5	1.44
	7	4.95	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.41 ↓ (6.91)	4.61 ↑ (4.58)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brechin City
14.4%

Draw
20%

Stranraer
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

20%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

16.8%

79.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brechin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brechin City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stranraer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brechin City - Stranraer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone League Two (Relegation) and 6).

Brechin is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stranraer is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Stranraer is certain favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Brechin won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 24-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Brechin won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brechin City
Scottish League Two
21.11.20	Queens Park - Brechin City	3:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
14.11.20	Brechin City - Kelty Hearts	0:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
07.11.20	Brechin City - Stirling Albion	0:5 ✺
31.10.20	Albion Rovers - Brechin City	0:2 ✺
24.10.20	Elgin City - Brechin City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWL
- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
21.11.20	Edinburgh City - Stranraer	0:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
14.11.20	Ayr United - Stranraer	2:1 penalties ✺
11.11.20	Stranraer - Hamilton Academical	2:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
07.11.20	Stranraer - Cowdenbeath	2:0 ✺
31.10.20	Stranraer - Queens Park	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
20.04.19	Stranraer - Brechin City	3:0
26.03.19	Stranraer - Brechin City	0:2
23.02.19	Brechin City - Stranraer	1:2
29.09.18	Brechin City - Stranraer	1:1
22.04.17	Brechin City - Stranraer	0:0
25.02.17	Stranraer - Brechin City	2:0
17.12.16	Brechin City - Stranraer	2:0

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