Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Somerset Park (Ayr)


	Ayr United		Stranraer

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	6.5
	1.22	5.5	9.75
	1.32	5.15	7.5
	1.32	5.13	7.53	Watch
	1.3	4.5	8
	1.29	4.8	8.6
	1.3	5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.22)	5.05 ↓ (5.5)	8.05 ↓ (9.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayr United
70.6%

Draw
18.1%

Stranraer
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.2%

16.5%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ayr United - Stranraer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Stranraer will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stranraer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Stranraer (1.62) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Ayr (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ayr (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Stranraer (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Main C. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Hughes R. ⚽, Dolan J. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Dempsey B. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 3 - 1, Finney G. ⚽, Dick L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 4 - 1, Thomas D. ⚽, Dowds A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 3.

In recent matches, Ayr has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stranraer is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ayr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ayr is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.9:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
27	Stranraer	5	2	0	3	13:12	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
10.01.26	Ayr United - Airdrieonians	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Greenock Morton - Ayr United	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	2:3 ✺
12.12.25	Ayr United - St. Johnstone	2:4 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	Ayr United - Peterhead	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWLW
- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
10.01.26	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Annan Athletic - Stranraer	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Stranraer - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Elgin City - Stranraer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.07.23	Ayr United - Stranraer	2:0
Scottish League Cup
14.11.20	Ayr United - Stranraer	2:1 penalties
27.07.19	Ayr United - Stranraer	2:3 penalties
Scottish League One
14.04.18	Ayr United - Stranraer	1:2
02.01.18	Stranraer - Ayr United	1:5
28.10.17	Ayr United - Stranraer	2:0
19.08.17	Stranraer - Ayr United	3:4

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