The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Edinburgh City 31.1%
Draw 27.4%
Stranraer 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
26.8%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.5%
25.5%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Edinburgh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stranraer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Edinburgh City - Stranraer Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Edinburgh City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Weir M. (G) 26. Lyon J. 4. McQueen C. 2. Walker J. 3. Mitchell Q. 10. Jarvis J. (C) 14. Zaid M. 11. Lawson I. 24. Williams D. 33. See O. 7. Stokes J.
1. Currie M. (G) 6. Docherty S. 5. McGrath J. 4. Reid L. 22. Coll B. (C) 7. Dolan J. 21. Gillies M. 8. Quigg A. 16. Plank D. 24. Lang D. 52. Clelland D.
Substitutes
16. Brodie C. 27. Daramola T. 19. Guthrie M. 25. Iserhienrhien D. 12. Marinovic E. (G) 9. McDonald O. 28. Sula E. 23. Williams C.
3. Ecrepont F. 15. Hughes R. 23. Hunter L. 10. McKnight K. 17. McManus D. 18. O'Donnell C. 2. Stuart J. 31. Tas L. (G) 19. Turay S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
7', Lawson I. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Lawson I. ⚽, Zaid M. (A),
35', Reid L. 🟨,
40', Stokes J. ↓, Williams C. ↑,
43', 2 - 0, Williams D. ⚽, Jarvis J. (A),
45+4', 2 - 1, McGrath J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Williams D. ↓, Iserhienrhien D. ↑,
54', Lang D. 🟨,
59', Jarvis J. 🟨,
62', Plank D. ↓, Ecrepont F. ↑,
62', Dolan J. ↓, McManus D. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Iserhienrhien D. ⚽, See O. (A),
73', Gillies M. ↓, Turay S. ↑,
74', Coll B. ↓, Stuart J. ↑,
74', Clelland D. ↓, Hughes R. ↑,
75', See O. ↓, Daramola T. ↑,
85', 4 - 1, Jarvis J. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Stuart J. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh City won 2.
Recent form of Edinburgh City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Stranraer has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Stranraer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Stranraer could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Edinburgh City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).