Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Stranraer		Cowdenbeath

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.4
	2	3.1	3.4
	1.88	3.4	3.65
	2.05	3.2	3.45
	2.06	3.34	3.58
	1.91	3.25	3.75
	2.06	3.42	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.79)	3.29 ↓ (3.58)	3.54 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stranraer
46.1%

Draw
28%

Cowdenbeath
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.8%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

17.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stranraer's form might have worsened.

Cowdenbeath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stranraer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cowdenbeath than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cowdenbeath could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stranraer - Cowdenbeath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 0.

Recent matches Stranraer is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cowdenbeath is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stranraer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stranraer is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Stranraer won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
05.03.22	Annan Athletic - Stranraer	4:1 ✺
26.02.22	Stranraer - Albion Rovers	0:0 ✺
19.02.22	Stranraer - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Elgin City - Stranraer	1:2 ✺
05.02.22	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTTWL
- Cowdenbeath
Scottish League Two
08.03.22	Stirling Albion - Cowdenbeath	2:1 ✺
05.03.22	Cowdenbeath - Kelty Hearts	0:1 ✺
25.02.22	Edinburgh City - Cowdenbeath	1:0 ✺
22.02.22	Kelty Hearts - Cowdenbeath	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Cowdenbeath - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
22.01.22	Cowdenbeath - Stranraer	0:1
11.12.21	Stranraer - Cowdenbeath	2:0
31.08.21	Cowdenbeath - Stranraer	1:2
27.03.21	Cowdenbeath - Stranraer	1:1
07.11.20	Stranraer - Cowdenbeath	2:0
Scottish League One
30.04.16	Stranraer - Cowdenbeath	1:0
23.01.16	Cowdenbeath - Stranraer	0:2

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