Match Info

NORTH MACEDONIA: 1. MFL - ROUND 7

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Gradski Stadion Štip (Štip)


	Bregalnica Štip		Struga

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.1
	3.35	2.9	2.12
	3.2	3.2	2.1
	3.36	3.22	2.09
	3.3	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.75)	3.1 ↓ (3.19)	2.1 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bregalnica Štip
27.5%

Draw
29.3%

Struga
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

28.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

27%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bregalnica Štip has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Struga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bregalnica Štip than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Struga than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Struga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Davkov M. (G) 11. Andonov Z. 14. Dimitrievski D. 2. Jovanov V. 23. Kalpacki D. 19. Lwaliwa H. (C) 17. Robakidze L. 6. Stepanenko V. 15. Velkoski V. 10. Venegas F. 13. Webster R.	95. Kjosevski V. (G) 10. Bojku B. 26. Georgievski H. 9. Ibraimi B. 16. Krivanjeva B. 5. Mazrekaj M. 6. Neziri M. 14. Radeski M. 55. Radic S. 11. Shabani B. 33. Zguro V.
Substitutes
9. Anderson C. 4. Dimitrievski M. 22. Gligorov I. 20. Kanform S. 5. Kocankovski Z. 25. Novakov K. (G) 21. Siljanovski G. 8. Stojcevski F. 7. Tasev D.	20. Compaore B. 22. Idrizi A. 7. Jahja A. 27. Jarovic S. 31. Jusuf K. 21. Kamberi B. 19. Kasami A. 12. Mirseloski R. (G) 8. Tairi F. 3. Tairi H. 28. Ukpa H.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bregalnica won 0.

Recent matches Bregalnica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Struga is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bregalnica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Struga is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bregalnica won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bregalnica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bregalnica Štip
North Macedonian 1 MFL
02.09.23	Voska Sport - Bregalnica Štip	2:0 ✺
27.08.23	Bregalnica Štip - AP Brera Strumica	1:0 ✺
23.08.23	Shkendija Tetovo - Bregalnica Štip	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Bregalnica Štip - Gostivar	2:1 ✺
13.08.23	Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Bregalnica Štip	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL
- FC Struga
North Macedonian 1 MFL
04.09.23	Struga - Tikveš	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.08.23	Breiðablik - Struga	1:0 ✺
24.08.23	Struga - Breiðablik	0:1 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
21.08.23	Struga - AP Brera Strumica	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Swift Hesperange - Struga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
30.04.23	Bregalnica Štip - Struga	0:3
North Macedonian Cup
09.11.22	Struga - Bregalnica Štip	2:0
North Macedonian 1 MFL
30.10.22	Struga - Bregalnica Štip	2:2
14.08.22	Bregalnica Štip - Struga	0:1
04.05.22	Struga - Bregalnica Štip	1:0
20.02.22	Struga - Bregalnica Štip	1:1
02.10.21	Bregalnica Štip - Struga	1:0

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