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Current Win Probability
Bregenz 29.5%
Draw 25.8%
SPG Wels 44.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
26.5%
44%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
26.2%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Bregenz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bregenz than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Bregenz - SPG Wels Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kretschmer K. (G) 30. Bangura S. 5. Marceta D. 16. Pursall B. 17. Marte R. 37. Rottensteiner M. 19. Otugo D. 2. Gembalies V. 70. Stefanon J. 12. Lendambi B. 10. Tartarotti J. (C)
44. Schrocker K. (G) 14. Tischler L. 12. Brugger M. 28. Gobara P. 4. Feyrer S. (C) 22. Conte K. 77. Thurnwald M. 20. Malinowski S. 6. Muller P. 9. Gashi A. 7. Svec M.
Substitutes
29. Crnkic T. 21. Gschossmann F. (G) 77. Maksimovic D. 8. Nussbaumer L. 22. Prirsch F. 7. Rossi N. 4. Vojic I.
24. Glibusic F. 10. Gunes T. 42. Lechner F. 8. Radics A. 61. Sahin T. 17. Steinmann R. 99. Szakal S. (G)
Coaches
Heraf A.
Heinle C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Svec M. ⚽, Gashi A. (A),
29', Lendambi B. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Stefanon J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 1 - 2, Malinowski S. ⚽,
61', Muller P. ↓, Sahin T. ↑,
61', Otugo D. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
72', Marte R. ↓, Vojic I. ↑,
72', Stefanon J. ↓, Maksimovic D. ↑,
72', Lendambi B. ↓, Crnkic T. ↑,
73', Svec M. ↓, Radics A. ↑,
86', Malinowski S. ↓, Lechner F. ↑,
86', Gashi A. ↓, Steinmann R. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Rossi N. ⚽, Tartarotti J. (A),
90+3', 2 - 3, Tischler L. ⚽, Radics A. (A),
90+3', Tischler L. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).
Bregenz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
SPG Wels's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
SPG Wels may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
SPG Wels is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bregenz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Bregenz
7
3
1
3
11:12
-1
10
15
Hertha Wels
7
1
1
5
8:17
-9
4
Last Results with these Odds
Bregenz - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 29.54%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.