Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 21

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Breiðablik		Stjarnan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	4.00	2.60
	2.10	3.75	2.63	Watch
	2.15	4.27	2.85
	2.31	4.22	2.61	Watch
	2.12	4.20	2.80
	2.14	4.05	2.79	Watch
	2.14	4.10	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.01)	4.08 ↓ (4.22)	2.72 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breiðablik
43.1%

Draw
22.8%

Stjarnan
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

22.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

22.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breiðablik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Breiðablik - Stjarnan Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Breiðablik will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson A. (G) 14. Karlsson H. 4. Orrason A. 5. Arnason I. 18. Ingvarsson D. 13. Ludviksson A. 8. Einarsson V. 9. Omarsson O. 23. Kristinsson K. 7. Gunnlaugsson H. (C) 99. Ulfarsson T.	12. Olafsson A. (G) 14. Hauksson B. 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 3. Kjeldsen G. 32. Orvarsson O. 29. Hauksson A. 18. Nokkvason G. 7. Eggertsson O. 23. Waren B. 11. Ingason B. 22. Atlason E.
Substitutes
22. Arnarsson J. 16. Fjeldsted D. 33. Gunnleifsson A. 29. Hallsson G. 19. Jonsson K. 21. Margeirsson V. 12. Snaeholm G. (G) 10. Steindorsson K. 45. Willumsson T.	1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 99. Bjarnason A. 33. Bjornsson A. 27. Dankerlui D. 8. Gunnarsson J. 19. Leifsson A. 34. Saemundsson B. 21. Turay I. 94. Vilhjalmsson A.
Coaches
Skulason O.	Hauksson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Kristjansson G. ⚽, Waren B. (A),
40', 0 - 2, Ingason B. ⚽, Eggertsson O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Orvarsson O. ↓, Dankerlui D. ↑,
49', Atlason E. 🟨,
58', Eggertsson O. ↓, Gunnarsson J. ↑,
65', Kristinsson K. ↓, Arnarsson J. ↑,
65', Arnason I. ↓, Margeirsson V. ↑,
65', Ludviksson A. ↓, Hallsson G. ↑,
74', Hauksson A. ↓, Turay I. ↑,
75', Atlason E. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
82', Orrason A. ↓, Steindorsson K. ↑,
82', Einarsson V. ↓, Gunnleifsson A. ↑,
84', Waren B. ↓, Leifsson A. ↑,
90', Dankerlui D. 🟨,
90+4', Kjeldsen G. 🟨,
90+4', Karlsson H. 🟨,
90+5', Steindorsson K. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breiðablik won 4.

Breiðablik has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stjarnan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Breiðablik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Breiðablik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Breiðablik won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:34. (average 2.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Breiðablik won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:12. (average 2:1.1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Breidablik ✔	24	9	6	9	47:46	1	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breiðablik UBK
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.08.26	Breiðablik - Fram	3:4 ✺
16.08.26	KR Reykjavík - Breiðablik	3:3 ✺
09.08.26	Breiðablik - Valur	1:3 ✺
04.08.26	Thor Akureyri - Breiðablik	1:0 ✺
27.07.26	Breiðablik - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLLW
- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
23.08.26	Stjarnan - Thor Akureyri	4:2 ✺
17.08.26	Fram - Stjarnan	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Stjarnan - Keflavík	1:0 ✺
03.08.26	Valur - Stjarnan	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Ilves - Stjarnan	3:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
16.06.26	Stjarnan - Breiðablik	4:4
26.10.25	Stjarnan - Breiðablik	2:3
27.06.25	Stjarnan - Breiðablik	1:4
23.04.25	Breiðablik - Stjarnan	2:1
19.10.24	Breiðablik - Stjarnan	2:1
11.08.24	Stjarnan - Breiðablik	2:2
21.05.24	Breiðablik - Stjarnan	2:1

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