The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valur 37.4%
Draw 22.7%
Stjarnan 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
22.3%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
22.9%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valur's form might have worsened.
Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stjarnan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stjarnan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.2%
7.7%
46.2%
Valur - Stjarnan Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 19.1% – 73.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Schram F. (G) 21. Palsson J. 4. Nakkim M. 15. Eyjolfsson H. (C) 11. Stole I. 28. Fridjonsson S. 17. Heimisson L. 8. Jonsson J. 29. Veseli S. 12. Haraldsson T. 19. Gardarson D.
12. Olafsson A. (G) 4. Thorisson T. 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 3. Kjeldsen G. 32. Orvarsson O. 8. Gunnarsson J. 18. Nokkvason G. 7. Eggertsson O. 23. Waren B. 11. Ingason B. 22. Atlason E.
Substitutes
5. Arnarsson K. 3. Gunnarsson H. 30. Heiddalur G. 22. Heimisson B. 9. Pedersen P. 95. Petersson T. (G) 26. Sigurbjornsson E. 14. Skoglund A. 24. Veldman M.
25. Alexandersson C. 1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 99. Bjarnason A. 29. Hauksson A. 14. Hauksson B. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 19. Leifsson A. 34. Saemundsson B. 94. Vilhjalmsson A.
Coaches
Brazell C.
Hauksson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Waren B. ⚽, Atlason E. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Jonsson J. ⚽, Veseli S. (A),
28', Fridjonsson S. 🟨,
33', Kristjansson G. ↓, Leifsson A. ↑,
36', Gunnarsson J. 🟨,
45+3', Thorisson T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gardarson D. ↓, Skoglund A. ↑,
57', Thorisson T. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
57', Atlason E. ↓, Hauksson B. ↑,
60', Veseli S. ↓, Heimisson B. ↑,
69', Palsson J. ↓, Pedersen P. ↑,
75', Hauksson J. 🟨,
77', Fridjonsson S. ↓, Gunnarsson H. ↑,
77', Heimisson L. ↓, Veldman M. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Veldman M. ⚽, Heimisson B. (A),
81', Ingason B. ↓, Vilhjalmsson A. ↑,
81', Gunnarsson J. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Vilhjalmsson A. ⚽, Waren B. (A),
90', Hauksson A. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 3, Eggertsson O. ⚽, Waren B. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 3.
Valur is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Stjarnan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Stjarnan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Stjarnan has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 45:30. (average 2.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:16. (average 2.6:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Stjarnan - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.93%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Schram F. (G) 
Nakkim M. 
Kjeldsen G. 
Skoglund A. 
Veldman M. 
Brazell C. 
