Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Tallaght Stadium (Dublin)

Referee: Glova F. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Shamrock Rovers		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	6.5	5	1.42
	6.9	4.45	1.43
	7.4	4.65	1.48
	6.49	5.27	1.40	Watch
	8.35	4.83	1.42
	7.5	4.75	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.19 ↑ (7.07)	4.83 ↓ (5.15)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamrock Rovers
13.2%

Draw
19.7%

Shakhtar Donetsk
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

18.3%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

17.4%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	14.3%	81%

Shamrock Rovers - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Shamrock (1.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Shakhtar (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 2 - 25%). Shakhtar (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGinty E. (G) 6. Cleary D. 4. Lopes R. (C) 5. Grace L. 21. Grant D. 7. Watts D. 15. Nugent D. 17. Healy M. 27. O'Sullivan C. 88. McGovern J. 20. Gaffney R.	31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matviienko M. (C) 16. Azarovi I. 29. Nazaryna Y. 37. Lucas Ferreira 8. Kryskiv D. 14. Isaque Silva 11. Newerton 19. Kaua Elias
Substitutes
22. Barrett C. 10. Burke G. 18. Clarke T. 9. Greene A. 11. Kavanagh S. 23. Malley C. 3. Matthews A. 41. Noonan A. (G) 31. Noonan M. 25. Steacy L. (G)	21. Bondarenko A. 7. Eguinaldo 74. Faryna M. 23. Fesyun K. (G) 20. Glushchenko A. 13. Henrique P. 26. Konoplya Y. 49. Luca Meirelles 4. Marlon 6. Marlon Gomes 27. Ocheretko O. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)
Coaches
Bradley S.	Turan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Kaua Elias ⚽, Tobias V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Bradley S. 🟨,
68', McGovern J. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
68', Gaffney R. ↓, Burke G. ↑,
69', Nugent D. ↓, Malley C. ↑,
74', Lucas Ferreira ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
74', Kryskiv D. ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
74', Azarovi I. ↓, Henrique P. ↑,
76', Lopes R. 🟨,
77', 0 - 2, Nazaryna Y. ⚽,
84', Newerton ↓, Konoplya Y. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Malley C. ⚽, Burke G. (A),
87', Watts D. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
90+3', Kaua Elias ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
90+4', Turan A. 🟨,

Preview

Shamrock has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shakhtar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shakhtar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shakhtar is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Shamrock: Greene A. (Injury)

There will not play in Shakhtar: Alisson (Foot Injury) Traore L. (Muscle Injury) Udod D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Shamrock: Mandroiu D. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamrock Rovers
Irish FAI Cup
09.11.25	Shamrock Rovers - Cork City	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	AEK Athens - Shamrock Rovers	1:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
01.11.25	Shamrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Shamrock Rovers - Galway United	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Derry City - Shamrock Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTLWL
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
22.11.25	Obolon - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:6 ✺
09.11.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Poltava	7:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Breiðablik	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
02.11.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	3:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
29.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL

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