Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 16

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Breno		Seregno

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.75
	2.35	3.02	2.82
	2.3	2.9	2.88
	2.32	3.18	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.81)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	2.82 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breno
39.1%

Draw
29.1%

Seregno
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

27.7%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Breno's performance.

Seregno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seregno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breno than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Breno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seregno than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seregno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Breno is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Seregno has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Breno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Breno won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Breno won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.12.22	Alcione - Breno	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	Breno - Franciacorta	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Breno	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Breno - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Lumezzane - Breno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLL
- Seregno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
10.12.22	Seregno - Real Calepina	2:3 ✺
04.12.22	Sona - Seregno	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Seregno - Varesina	1:3 ✺
20.11.22	Seregno - Alcione	2:4 ✺
13.11.22	Casatese - Seregno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
14.04.21	Breno - Seregno	0:1
23.12.20	Seregno - Breno	2:0

Breno - Seregno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide