Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Breno		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.25	1.9
	3.53	3.36	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.25	1.97
	3.33	2.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	3.19 ↓ (3.28)	1.91 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breno
25.5%

Draw
27.8%

Folgore Caratese
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.7%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

27%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breno than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Breno - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Biondini G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, Capelli A. ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 3, Campani F. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breno won 2.

Breno is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Folgore Caratese is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Folgore Caratese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Breno won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Breno won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.03.26	Breno - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Scanzorosciate - Breno	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Breno - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Milan Futuro - Breno	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Breno - Casatese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.03.26	Folgore Caratese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Milan Futuro - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Folgore Caratese - Casatese	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Chievo - Folgore Caratese	1:4 ✺
08.02.26	Folgore Caratese - Pavia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
09.11.25	Folgore Caratese - Breno	2:1
09.02.25	Folgore Caratese - Breno	4:2
13.10.24	Breno - Folgore Caratese	1:0
01.04.23	Folgore Caratese - Breno	1:2
20.11.22	Breno - Folgore Caratese	0:1
13.02.22	Folgore Caratese - Breno	2:1
06.10.21	Breno - Folgore Caratese	2:2

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