Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 15

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Alcione		Breno

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.4	3.5
	1.85	3.56	3.42
	1.91	3.42	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.66)	3.46 ↓ (3.51)	3.49 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
48.1%

Draw
26.1%

Breno
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.6%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcione's form might have worsened.

Breno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Breno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breno than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Breno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Alcione in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Breno is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Breno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alcione will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.12.22	Real Calepina - Alcione	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Alcione - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Seregno - Alcione	2:4 ✺
13.11.22	Alcione - Varesina	4:0 ✺
06.11.22	Sona - Alcione	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWWW
- Breno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
03.12.22	Breno - Franciacorta	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Breno	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Breno - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Lumezzane - Breno	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Breno - Caronnese	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.26	Lecco - Alcione	✺

Alcione - Breno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide