Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 13

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Virtus CiseranoBergamo		Breno

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.5
	1.85	3.12	3.43
	1.98	3.2	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)	3.14 ↑ (3.12)	3.52 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus CiseranoBergamo
46.5%

Draw
28.3%

Breno
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.8%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

25.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus CiseranoBergamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Breno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus CiseranoBergamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breno than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Virtus CiseranoBergamo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Breno is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Virtus CiseranoBergamo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Virtus CiseranoBergamo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus CiseranoBergamo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus CiseranoBergamo
Italian Serie D - Group B
20.11.22	Varesina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.11.22	Crema - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
06.11.22	Casatese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Seregno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWT
- Breno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
20.11.22	Breno - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Lumezzane - Breno	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Breno - Caronnese	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Franciacorta - Breno	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.10.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Breno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
01.05.22	Breno - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1
19.12.21	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Breno	2:2
14.02.21	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Breno	0:1

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