Match Info

UGANDA: Premier League - Round 15

Date: 6 January 2025, Monday

Location: Kavumba Recreation Centre (Wakiso)


	Bright Stars		Lugazi Municipal

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.1	4.4
				Watch
	1.83	3	4
	1.74	3.18	4.79
	1.81	3.1	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.32)	3.1 ↑ (2.7)	4.4 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bright Stars
50.3%

Draw
29.2%

Lugazi Municipal
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

33.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

32.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bright Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bright Stars's performance.

Lugazi Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugazi Municipal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bright Stars than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bright Stars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugazi Municipal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Bright Stars - Lugazi Municipal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bright Stars will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kamya S. (G) 21. Atari K. 4. Buule W. 29. Kato F. 6. Kitimbo I. 5. Kyambadde A. (C) 19. Mulindi A. 28. Mustapha K. 18. Nsereko S. 12. Odongo J. 11. Senkatuka N.	1. Fahad E. (G) 24. Ayiko R. (C) 6. Bayo A. 25. Birungi A. 10. Buga M. 16. Kalanzi A. 11. Mandela N. 27. Mungudit F. 8. Mwanje D. 19. Ssemugugu S. 17. Wasswa P.
Substitutes
8. Alou J. 3. Badoni A. 20. Fiat C. 7. Kakande S. 2. Kato N. 9. Kiiza D. 13. Mandera A. . Muhindo J. 15. Mukisa J. 17. Mulabi S. (G) 30. Ndyomugabe R.	18. Amanya I. 7. Jumbe F. 30. Lubega M. 29. Massa A. 9. Mugwa B. 3. Obua E. 14. Oluka G. (G) 20. Rogers A. 12. Saaka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Atari K. ↓, Mandera A. ↑,
22', Nsereko S. 🟨,
40', Buule W. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Mandela N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kato F. ↓, Alou J. ↑,
58', Mandera A. 🟨,
62', 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Mandera A. ⚽,
67', Birungi A. ↓, Saaka S. ↑,
67', Buga M. ↓, Obua E. ↑,
72', Kalanzi A. ↓, Lubega M. ↑,
72', Ssemugugu S. ↓, Rogers A. ↑,
80', Senkatuka N. ↓, Kiiza D. ↑,
80', Mulindi A. ↓, Kakande S. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bright Stars FC
Ugandan Super League
02.01.25	Express - Bright Stars	2:1 ✺
18.12.24	Bright Stars - UPDF	2:1 ✺
11.12.24	NEC FC - Bright Stars	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Bright Stars - Vipers	1:2 ✺
28.11.24	Mbale Heroes - Bright Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Lugazi Municipal FC
Ugandan Super League
03.01.25	Lugazi Municipal - Bul	1:2 ✺
19.12.24	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Lugazi Municipal	1:0 ✺
12.12.24	Lugazi Municipal - Mbarara City	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Villa - Lugazi Municipal	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Lugazi Municipal - Kampala City Council	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLTTT

Bright Stars - Lugazi Municipal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide