Match Info
Premier League - Round 21Date: 14 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Lugazi FC Stadium (Najjembe)
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Lugazi Municipal |
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Kampala City Council |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
5.9 |
3.75 |
1.48 |
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6.08 |
4.37 |
1.4 |
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6 |
3.8 |
1.44 |
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6.67 |
4.05 |
1.42 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.16 ↑
(5.34) |
3.99 ↑
(3.5) |
1.44 ↓
(1.59) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lugazi Municipal
14.6% | Draw
22.6% | Kampala City Council
62.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugazi Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Kampala City Council has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kampala City Council's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kampala City Council than the current prediction. (-4.6%)Lugazi Municipal - Kampala City Council Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Mayanja S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', 0 - 2, Ahimbisibwe Ivan ⚽,
- 62', 0 - 3, Wasswa P. (Own goal),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3).Lugazi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Kampala City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4). In this match, Kampala City is a strong favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 6 |
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| 12 | Kampala City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 16.10.25 | Kampala City Council - Lugazi Municipal | 0:0 | | 30.11.24 | Lugazi Municipal - Kampala City Council | 1:1 |
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