Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL QUEENSLAND - ROUND 8

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Brisbane City		Moreton Bay United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.9	3.5
	1.85	4	2.95
	1.81	4.4	3.5
	2.25	3.6	2.55
	1.82	4.05	3.45	Watch
	1.85	3.85	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.38)	3.97 ↑ (3.74)	3.22 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane City
48.4%

Draw
23.1%

Moreton Bay United
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

24.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

24.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brisbane City's performance.

Moreton Bay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moreton Bay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane City than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton Bay United than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moreton Bay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Brisbane City - Moreton Bay United Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brisbane City will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Moreton Bay will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brisbane City won 1.

Recent matches Brisbane City is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moreton Bay is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moreton Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Brisbane City have a series of home games.

Brisbane City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Brisbane City won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 23-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Brisbane City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane City
Australian NPL Queensland
23.04.23	Brisbane City - Eastern Suburbs	4:0 ✺
08.04.23	Brisbane City - Gold Coast Knights	1:2 ✺
26.03.23	Brisbane City - Rochedale Rovers	4:0 ✺
18.03.23	Brisbane City - Olympic FC	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Queensland Lions - Brisbane City	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWTL
- Moreton Bay United
Australian NPL Queensland
22.04.23	Moreton Bay United - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Redlands United - Moreton Bay United	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Gold Coast United - Moreton Bay United	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Moreton Bay United - Eastern Suburbs	5:2 ✺
11.03.23	Gold Coast Knights - Moreton Bay United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.02.23	Moreton Bay United - Brisbane City	2:0
Australian NPL Queensland
10.07.22	Brisbane City - Moreton Bay United	1:2
09.04.22	Moreton Bay United - Brisbane City	0:2
Club Friendly
13.02.21	Brisbane City - Moreton Bay United	4:5
Australian NPL Queensland
07.11.20	Moreton Bay United - Brisbane City	2:1
29.08.20	Brisbane City - Moreton Bay United	1:2
Club Friendly
24.01.20	Brisbane City - Moreton Bay United	2:3

Brisbane City - Moreton Bay United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide