The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bromsgrove Sporting 26.1%
Draw 25.3%
AFC Telford United 48.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
27%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
26%
42.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bromsgrove Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bromsgrove Sporting's form might have worsened.
AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Telford United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bromsgrove Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Telford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bromsgrove Sporting - AFC Telford United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 1 - 0, Meddows J. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).
Recent matches Bromsgrove is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Telford is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Telford will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Bromsgrove won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Bromsgrove won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
Last Results with these Odds
AFC Telford United - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.56%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.