Match Info

FA Trophy - Qualification - Final

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Barwell		Bromsgrove Sporting

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	2.95
	2.08	3.6	3
	2.1	3.6	2.85
	2.09	3.48	3.01
	2.08	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.23)	3.52 ↑ (3.47)	2.96 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
43.6%

Draw
25.8%

Bromsgrove Sporting
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

24.7%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Bromsgrove Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barwell will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barwell won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.25	Barwell - Stourbridge	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Stratford Town - Barwell	4:1 ✺
06.09.25	Barwell - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Quorn - Barwell	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLTW
- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Quorn - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Banbury United	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - St Ives Town	0:4 ✺
25.08.25	Redditch United - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.09.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2
24.02.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:3
16.11.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Barwell	3:0
27.04.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Barwell	0:1
18.11.23	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1
15.04.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Barwell	2:0
12.11.22	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1

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