Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 42

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bromsgrove Sporting		Real Bedford

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.65	2.25
	3.03	3.47	1.97
	2.49	3.75	2.49	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.38
	3.06	3.54	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.46)	3.53 ↓ (3.67)	2.22 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bromsgrove Sporting
33.4%

Draw
25.7%

Real Bedford
40.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.5%

24.5%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

24.9%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bromsgrove Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Real Bedford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Bromsgrove Sporting - Real Bedford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Allen J. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Belmonte ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Setchell J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 3, Jones A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Real Bedford is Qualified for Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs )

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Real Bedford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bromsgrove has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bromsgrove won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Bedford	14	10	2	2	37:17	20	32
3	Bromsgrove	13	8	4	1	23:13	10	28

Last Results with these Odds

Bromsgrove Sporting - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 36.52%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Real Bedford - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 38.97%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.26	Stratford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	St Ives Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Halesowen Town	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Needham Market - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Spalding United - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWLLW
- Real Bedford
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.26	Real Bedford - Alvechurch	3:2 ✺
14.04.26	Real Bedford - Leiston	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Redditch United - Real Bedford	1:4 ✺
06.04.26	Real Bedford - Bishops Stortford	4:0 ✺
03.04.26	Kettering Town - Real Bedford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.01.26	Real Bedford - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0

Bromsgrove Sporting - Real Bedford