Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Real Bedford		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.8	4.55
	1.58	4.06	4.72
	1.6	4.26	4.75	Watch
	1.57	3.6	4.6
	1.54	3.98	4.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.76)	3.94 ↑ (3.76)	4.72 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Bedford
57.7%

Draw
23.1%

Alvechurch
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.1%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

25.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Bedford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Bedford's performance.

Alvechurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alvechurch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+4%)

Real Bedford - Alvechurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 1 - 0, Allen J. ⚽,
45+6', 1 - 1, Ilesanmi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, Stevens B. ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Abbey J. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, Allen J. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Real Bedford is Qualified for Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs )

In recent matches, Real Bedford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alvechurch is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Bedford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Bedford is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Real Bedford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Real Bedford: 26.3% Alvechurch: 2.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Bedford	9	9	0	0	29:10	19	27
4	Alvechurch	9	6	2	1	17:4	13	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Bedford
English Southern League Central Division
14.04.26	Real Bedford - Leiston	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Redditch United - Real Bedford	1:4 ✺
06.04.26	Real Bedford - Bishops Stortford	4:0 ✺
03.04.26	Kettering Town - Real Bedford	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Real Bedford - Halesowen Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLW
- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
11.04.26	Alvechurch - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Stourbridge - Alvechurch	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Alvechurch - Barwell	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Sudbury Town - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Alvechurch - St Ives Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
24.02.26	Alvechurch - Real Bedford	3:4
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Alvechurch - Real Bedford	2:1 penalties

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