The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Bedford 64.8%
Draw 19.5%
Leiston 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.9%
20.4%
14.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.4%
19.1%
13.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Bedford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Real Bedford - Leiston Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Clemons W. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
60', 1 - 0, Cartwright S. ⚽,
68', 2 - 0, Tee C. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Aitkens N. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Mills A. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, Allen J. ⚽,
Preview
The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ National League North and 9th).
Real Bedford arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Leiston has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Real Bedford could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to Real Bedford as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Real Bedford in today's match, at odds of 1.39.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Real Bedford has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:2 (averaging 0:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Bedford against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now
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