Match Info

Federation Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium (Rajshahi)


	Brothers Union		Bashundhara Kings

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.48	3.33
	2.75	3.1	2.46
	1.91	3.2	3.4
	1.85	3.52	3.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.65)	3.33 ↓ (3.64)	3.2 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brothers Union
43.9%

Draw
27.5%

Bashundhara Kings
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

25.2%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

24.3%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brothers Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brothers Union's performance.

Bashundhara Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bashundhara Kings might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brothers Union than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brothers Union that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bashundhara Kings than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bashundhara Kings could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brothers Union - Bashundhara Kings Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bashundhara Kings (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Hossain R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
72', 0 - 2, Dorielton ⚽,
74', 0 - 3, Dorielton ⚽,
88', 0 - 4, Hossen M. S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brothers Union won 0.

Brothers Union has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bashundhara Kings is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brothers Union may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Brothers Union won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 7:32. (average 0.6:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Brothers Union won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.8:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brothers Union
Bangladesh BFL
30.04.26	Brothers Union - Arambagh Krira Sangha	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Bashundhara Kings - Brothers Union	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Brothers Union - PWD SC	1:2 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
14.04.26	Fakirerpool YMC - Brothers Union	0:1 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
10.04.26	Fakirerpool YMC - Brothers Union	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWW
- Bashundhara Kings
Bangladesh BFL
30.04.26	Mohammedan - Bashundhara Kings	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Bashundhara Kings - Brothers Union	1:0 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
21.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Bashundhara Kings	1:4 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
17.04.26	Rahmatganj - Bashundhara Kings	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Bashundhara Kings - Arambagh Krira Sangha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh BFL
25.04.26	Bashundhara Kings - Brothers Union	1:0
05.12.25	Brothers Union - Bashundhara Kings	1:5
09.05.25	Brothers Union - Bashundhara Kings	0:0
27.12.24	Bashundhara Kings - Brothers Union	1:1
Bangladesh Federation Cup
03.12.24	Bashundhara Kings - Brothers Union	1:0
Bangladesh BFL
30.03.24	Brothers Union - Bashundhara Kings	1:7
22.12.23	Bashundhara Kings - Brothers Union	5:2

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