Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Brown de Adrogué		Fénix

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.4	4.75
	1.5	3.75	6.6	Watch
	1.49	3.57	6.66
	1.51	3.74	6.38	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.49	3.72	6.99
	1.5	3.75	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)	3.62 ↓ (3.75)	6.14 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
59.7%

Draw
25.3%

Fénix
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.2%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

20.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brown de Adrogué that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fénix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brown de Adrogué - Fénix Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brown de Adrogué (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Brown de Adrogué (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brown de Adrogué (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Vivas G. 2. Aguirre C. 5. Minnicelli A. 3. Sanchez A. 8. Enrique F. 6. Lugarzo L. 10. Sproat M. 11. Lovazzano L. 9. Meaurio N. 7. Canete J.	1. Parra V. (G) 4. Bembo J. 2. Acosta M. 6. Ferro G. 3. Rodriguez J. 8. Rizzo F. 11. Auteri S. 10. Hernandez B. 7. Breccia R. 5. Diaz F. 9. Anriquez D.
Substitutes
14. Bogado J. 20. Campana L. 16. Castano A. 18. Guayquinao B. 17. Guerrero B. 19. Lopez B. 15. Nizzo M. 13. Romero Ramirez P. E. 12. Wysocki M. (G)	19. Aparicio G. 15. Busto J. 12. Cordero R. (G) 14. Martin Pereyra S. 17. Mayor J. 18. Medina G. 20. Meridione A. 13. Rojas I. 16. Zeoliti T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Canete J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Canete J. ⚽,
61', Rizzo F. ↓, Busto J. ↑,
61', Hernandez B. ↓, Aparicio G. ↑,
61', Auteri S. ↓, Meridione A. ↑,
63', Diaz F. 🟨,
66', Meaurio N. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
76', Diaz F. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
80', Canete J. ↓, Campana L. ↑,
80', Sproat M. ↓, Bogado J. ↑,
81', Sanchez A. 🟨,
83', Minnicelli A. ↓, Castano A. ↑,
83', Enrique F. ↓, Guerrero B. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 21).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Fénix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brown de Adrogué is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
20.05.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Brown de Adrogué - Liniers	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Comunicaciones - Brown de Adrogué	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Armenio	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Brown de Adrogué - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLTT
- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
19.05.25	Fénix - Argentino de Merlo	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Fénix	3:0 ✺
05.05.25	Fénix - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Deportivo Flandria - Fénix	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Fénix - Deportivo Laferrere	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLT

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