Match Info

Primera B - Round 33

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Brown de Adrogué		Liniers

	1	X	2
	2.00	2.85	3.70
	2.12	2.95	3.25	Watch
	2.05	2.89	3.95
	2.03	2.9	3.92	Watch
	2.02	2.85	3.85
	2.08	2.92	4.06
	2.00	2.85	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.25)	2.89 ↑ (2.88)	3.78 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
44.5%

Draw
31.5%

Liniers
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

31%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

29.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liniers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Brown de Adrogué - Liniers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wysocki M. (G)
4. Aguirre C.
7. Baldunciel L.
10. Ferrario F.
8. Guerrero B.
11. Lopez B.
9. Meaurio N.
3. Ortiz A.
6. Pieres M.
2. Sanchez L.
5. Silva J.
Substitutes
19. Cerulo M.
14. Cesare L.
18. Galeano V.
12. Giovini S. (G)
16. Gonzalez A.
17. Gonzalez L.
15. Patrizio T.
13. Rodriguez N.
20. Sproat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Pieres M. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Formichelli S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Lopez B. ↓, Sproat M. ↑,
55', Silva J. ↓, Patrizio T. ↑,
62', Ortiz A. 🟨,
65', Guerrero B. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
65', Pieres M. ↓, Cesare L. ↑,
66', Coria T. ↓, Camejo F. ↑,
72', Mackay G. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
72', Auzqui D. ↓, Tonet J. ↑,
73', Ferrario F. 🟨,
77', Ferrario F. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Cesare L. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 17).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Liniers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brown de Adrogué will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Liniers	38	10	13	15	31:39	-8	43
19	Brown Adrogue	38	8	15	15	24:37	-13	39

Last Results with these Odds

Brown de Adrogué - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.7%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Liniers - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.29%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
25.08.26	Real Pilar - Brown de Adrogué	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Brown de Adrogué - UAI Urquiza	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Brown de Adrogué - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
31.07.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTLWT
- CSD Liniers
Argentinian Primera B
26.08.26	Liniers - Deportivo Armenio	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Deportivo Flandria - Liniers	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Liniers - Argentino de Quilmes	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Defensores Unidos - Liniers	2:3 ✺
01.08.26	Liniers - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
19.04.26	Liniers - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
28.09.25	Liniers - Brown de Adrogué	2:1
10.05.25	Brown de Adrogué - Liniers	0:1

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