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Current Win Probability
Brown de Adrogué 48.9%
Draw 30.2%
Ituzaingó 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
30%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
27.5%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brown de Adrogué that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ituzaingó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brown de Adrogué - Ituzaingó Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wysocki M. (G) 2. Aguirre C. 9. Baez B. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Cesare L. 11. Lopez B. 10. Noble M. 3. Ortiz A. 5. Robles E. 6. Sanchez L. 8. Silva J.
1. Barraza L. (G) 3. Barea T. 5. Campusano M. 4. Fanti J. 11. Gras S. 2. Mantovani E. 9. Mariani B. 10. Mena L. 7. Regules I. 6. Salvadores J. 8. Sotelo A.
Substitutes
14. Bogado J. 16. Castano A. 15. Ferrario F. 18. Galeano V. 17. Galvan L. 12. Giovini S. (G) 19. Gonzalez L. 20. Meaurio N. 13. Rodriguez N.
13. Aguirre M. 12. Almiron A. (G) 16. Bermejo M. 17. Fernandez J. 19. Lozano F. 18. Luppino F. 20. Miranda A. 15. Politano A. 14. Politano R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Mariani B. 🟨,
28', Baez B. 🟨,
28', Mantovani E. 🟨,
33', Regules I. 🟨,
34', Mena L. 🟨,
34', Cesare L. 🟨,
42', Silva J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gras S. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
70', Cesare L. ↓, Bogado J. ↑,
70', Noble M. ↓, Meaurio N. ↑,
70', Baez B. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
74', Mariani B. ↓, Luppino F. ↑,
74', Mena L. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
76', Silva J. ↓, Ferrario F. ↑,
82', Barea T. ↓, Politano A. ↑,
82', Ortiz A. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
90+3', Sotelo A. ↓, Bermejo M. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
Brown de Adrogué has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ituzaingó's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Brown de Adrogué is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
19
Brown Adrogue
38
8
15
15
24:37
-13
39
22
Ituzaingo
38
1
12
25
25:62
-37
15
Last Results with these Odds
Ituzaingó - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.