The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ituzaingó 39.6%
Draw 30.2%
Villa San Carlos 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
31.6%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
32.6%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ituzaingó's performance.
Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ituzaingó that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa San Carlos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Ituzaingó - Villa San Carlos Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ituzaingó will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Villa San Carlos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barraza L. (G) 4. Aguirre M. 5. Campusano M. 3. Fanti J. 8. Gras S. 2. Mantovani E. (C) 9. Mariani B. 10. Mena L. 11. Miranda A. 6. Salvadores J. 7. Sotelo A.
1. Akimenco T. (G) 10. Acosta A. 2. Areco G. 3. Canete S. 8. Farias F. 5. Gonzalez E. 4. Lloyaiy A. 7. Lugones A. 6. Ojeda F. 11. Ponton A. 9. Salinas R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Lugones A. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Mena L. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Pavia K. ⚽,
39', Lugones A. ↓, Ferrante F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Gras S. ↓, Regules I. ↑,
61', Guallama F. ↓, Ponton A. ↑,
67', Melillo E. 🟨,
72', Canete S. 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Melillo E. ⚽,
77', Aguirre M. ↓, Luppino F. ↑,
78', Regules I. 🟨,
80', Pavia K. ↓, Cairo F. ↑,
80', Melillo E. ↓, Fabi S. ↑,
81', 1 - 3, Melillo E. ⚽,
83', Mena L. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 3.
Ituzaingó is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Villa San Carlos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Ituzaingó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Villa San Carlos
38
11
14
13
37:39
-2
47
22
Ituzaingo
38
1
12
25
25:62
-37
15
Last Results with these Odds
Villa San Carlos - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.21%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Usa
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Barraza L. (G) 
Miranda A. 
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